Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 2.868985 3.017529 3.173781 3.351119 3.547712 3.760043 4.008168
2025-07-13 2.718965 2.934579 3.172879 3.458638 3.795980 4.186857 4.682312
2025-07-20 2.565353 2.824765 3.122912 3.497097 3.963670 4.540494 5.332896
2025-07-27 2.496965 2.802333 3.166876 3.645913 4.278832 5.120311 6.394413
2025-08-03 2.410973 2.748296 3.163902 3.732150 4.523269 5.651004 7.540709
2025-08-10 2.287649 2.636394 3.075840 3.694423 4.590629 5.941593 8.413339
2025-08-17 2.138723 2.480971 2.918135 3.544651 4.475563 5.931411 8.763995
2025-08-24 2.029980 2.370217 2.810767 3.453761 4.434527 6.029923 9.357178
2025-08-31 1.958773 2.303777 2.757393 3.433421 4.496703 6.310877 10.449839
2025-09-07 1.874627 2.215361 2.667917 3.351866 4.450432 6.389148 11.121979
2025-09-14 1.797241 2.132203 2.580799 3.266674 4.387989 6.425386 11.715150
2025-09-21 1.726465 2.054872 2.497741 3.181496 4.316312 6.431247 12.240119
2025-09-28 1.660397 1.986480 2.431124 3.128573 4.315241 6.624027 13.643777
2025-10-05 1.641146 1.981740 2.455591 3.220851 4.585724 7.479355 18.576058
2025-10-12 1.605756 1.952738 2.442982 3.253055 4.754240 8.182571 24.967829
2025-10-19 1.597210 1.961033 2.486051 3.381878 5.137086 9.641885 46.904230
2025-10-26 1.575182 1.948572 2.496501 3.456107 5.427013 11.062468 121.130475
2025-11-02 1.530457 1.900773 2.449057 3.422912 5.476267 11.738386 428.117400
2025-11-09 1.467509 1.823753 2.351959 3.292293 5.283509 11.422561 645.859052
2025-11-16 1.419520 1.767292 2.285032 3.212731 5.201508 11.530424 NaN
2025-11-23 1.387771 1.733749 2.252866 3.194825 5.263754 12.289499 NaN
2025-11-30 1.346854 1.685101 2.194308 3.123287 5.185319 12.395874 NaN
2025-12-07 1.307498 1.637628 2.135837 3.048390 5.089942 12.389965 NaN